Football betting: Picking holes in Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Upsets are part of the sporting fabric, they are what make competition – even at the very highest level – so enthralling.

In football circles, there are, however, a few sides who do the business more often than not, with there being few chinks to be found in their seemingly impenetrable armour.

Everyone has a weakness, though, and there are still benefits to keeping a close eye on the efforts of those who rarely take a tumble on proverbial banana skins.

For example, those who like to take their interest in events a little further than merely spectating, will often turn to heavyweight outfits for support – the Bayern Munichs, Barcelonas and Paris St Germains of this world.

Bayern are, undoubtedly, the pick of that bunch.

Over the course of the last three seasons – in which they have secured successive league titles – the German giants have emerged victorious in 83 of the 102 Bundesliga fixtures they have taken in.

To put that into perspective, that is a win ratio of a quite extraordinary 83 per cent.

Barcelona, with two titles to their name in that time, muster just 78 per cent, while Manchester City – the most consistent Premier League performers – manage 65 per cent and PSG – perennial champions in Ligue 1 – 67 per cent.

Even Celtic, in a division widely considered to be a cakewalk for the Glasgow outfit, have only won 84 of 114 games – a return of 74 per cent in the victory column.

Backing Bayern, then, is notoriously difficult, with Bundesliga betting having wised up to their domestic dominance – they are 1/5 with bet365 to emerge victorious in their next game, a trip to last season’s runners-up Werder Bremen.

As with all sports betting, though, you sometimes have to read between the lines.

Studying form is an integral part of any punter’s make-up, and there are trends in Bayern’s results which suggest they should not be overlooked in individual markets.

For instance, looking at their results from the current campaign – which have been faultless – it is interesting to note that they have yet to concede in the second half of a league fixture.

They have also netted two or more goals in the second half of all but one of their Bundesliga games so far, suggesting that there is no taking their foot off the gas after Pep Guardiola has offered a few words of wisdom.

On the goalscoring front, Robert Lewandowski has plundered a remarkable 12 goals in his last four club outings, making him an obvious port of call in the first goalscorer stakes.

It is, however, worth pointing out that he has broken the deadlock just once this season, while teammate Thomas Muller has achieved that feat on three occasions and will always be available at a bigger price than his Polish colleague.

Bayern can keep things interesting, then, even if at first glance it appears as though their monopolisation of the German top-flight has made them virtually untouchable to all comers.